Home » Kondrashov et al. 2022

Prediction of plasmaspheric hiss spectral classes

Kondrashov D., A. Y. Drozdov, D. Vech, D. M. Malaspina, (2022), Prediction of plasmaspheric hiss spectral classes, Frontiers In Astronomy And Space Sciences, 9, doi:10.3389/fspas.2022.977801

Abstract

We present a random forests machine learning model for prediction of plasmaspheric hiss spectral classes from the Van Allen Probes dataset. The random forests model provides accurate prediction of plasmaspheric hiss spectral classes obtained by the self organizing map (SOM) unsupervised machine learning classification technique. The high predictive skill of the random forests model is largely determined by the distinct and different locations of a given spectral class (“no hiss”, “regular hiss”, and “low-frequency hiss”) in (MLAT, MLT, L) coordinate space, which are the main predictors of the simplest and most accurate base model. Adding to such a base model any other single predictor among different magnetospheric, geomagnetic, and solar wind conditions provides only minor and similarly incremental improvements in predictive skill, which is comparable to the one obtained when including all possible predictors, and thus confirming major role of spatial location for accurate prediction.

Authors (sorted by name)

Drozdov Kondrashov Malaspina Vech

Journal / Conference

Frontiers In Astronomy And Space Sciences

Grants

NSSC18K1034

Bibtex

@ARTICLE{10.3389/fspas.2022.977801,  
AUTHOR={Kondrashov, Dmitri and Drozdov, Alexander Y. and Vech, Daniel and Malaspina, David M.},  	 
TITLE={Prediction of plasmaspheric hiss spectral classes},      	
JOURNAL={Frontiers in Astronomy and Space Sciences},      	
VOLUME={9},           	
YEAR={2022},      	  
URL={https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fspas.2022.977801},       	
DOI={10.3389/fspas.2022.977801},      	
ISSN={2296-987X},      
ABSTRACT={We present a random forests machine learning model for prediction of plasmaspheric hiss spectral classes from the Van Allen Probes dataset. The random forests model provides accurate prediction of plasmaspheric hiss spectral classes obtained by the self organizing map (SOM) unsupervised machine learning classification technique. The high predictive skill of the random forests model is largely determined by the distinct and different locations of a given spectral class (“no hiss”, “regular hiss”, and “low-frequency hiss”) in (MLAT, MLT, L) coordinate space, which are the main predictors of the simplest and most accurate base model. Adding to such a base model any other single predictor among different magnetospheric, geomagnetic, and solar wind conditions provides only minor and similarly incremental improvements in predictive skill, which is comparable to the one obtained when including all possible predictors, and thus confirming major role of spatial location for accurate prediction.}
}